Contentious Primaries are Dinging Democrats 2016 Senate Hopes

The 2016 presidential race continues to make for great headlines. With this many candidates and this many personalities being given nearly infinite opportunities to say something intriguing, bombastic or gaffe-worthy, it’s no surprise that the media is having a field day. Given the tabloid-like behavior of the news media today it’s little surprise that Democrats…
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Democrats Lining Up Behind Proven Losers for 2016

By any measure the 2016 elections are extremely important. The economic recovery—to the extent there is one—is likely to still be balancing on a razor’s edge. The world is in disarray, with Russia pushing its boundaries, Iran becoming a regional power, nations like Iraq and Libya collapsing, Islamic terrorists on the march, and China gathering…
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Sensing Disaster, Democrats are Already Picking Out Their Scapegoats

Following the 2012 presidential elections the Republican Party was forced to take a good hard look at itself. What were we doing wrong and how do we fix it? What are our principles and how do we adapt them to modern challenges? What do we want the future of the party to look like and…
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With the Finish Line in Sight, Republicans Capture “The Big Mo”

In politics, momentum matters. It emboldens donors and volunteers. It plays a psychological role in reaffirming the wisdom of voters’ choices. And it alters the lens through which the media reports on individual races. And right now Republicans have all of the momentum. NBC News reports: Control of the U.S. Senate is coming down to…
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Despite Polling Momentum, GOP Can’t Rest Easy

If you’ve read the news over the past several days trying to get a bead on the midterm elections then you’ve likely come away more confused than ever. On the one hand, a deluge of new polls show that many individual Senate races are beginning to tilt towards Republicans. The RealClearPolitics compilation of polls shows:…
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Democrats’ Big-Donor Hypocrisy On Full Display

Nearly everywhere you turn this election cycle Democrats are warning voters about the dire implications that “outside spending” or “dark money” will have on the political process. In Michigan Gary Peters argued, “There should be out of state billionaires controlling the dialogue. It should be Michiganders that are controlling the dialogue.” But as Brad Dayspring…
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The Race for the Senate is Close – And it Probably Always Will Be

Writing about politics and polling in a typical election year can be lead to some conflicting emotions. On the one hand, if everything seems to be trending the right way then you begin to fear that your base will grow too cocky. Conservative voters may come to wonder why they should waste their time at…
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Begich, Udall, and Hagan: Distasteful, Deceptive and Dishonest

Political nerds everywhere rejoice – Nate Silver’s Senate model is back. To the uninitiated, Nate Silver is a statistician with a nearly unimpeachable record for predicting the outcome of elections (and, coincidentally the performance of Major League Baseball players). His highly regarded model weights the veracity of various polls, and then runs their outcomes, along…
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Democrats Can’t Run from Obamacare’s Medicare Cuts…But They’re Trying

One of Democrats favorite election year tactics is to gin up some good old fashioned “Mediscare” – by wrongly trying to convince voters that Republicans are out to end Medicare. The tired argument grew so loud and obnoxious that PolitiFact even dubbed it their “Lie of the Year” for 2011. “Kathleen Hall Jamieson, an expert…
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